Learn More
American Forests creates healthy and resilient forests, from cities to large natural landscapes,
that deliver essential benefits for climate, people, water and wildlife. We advance our mission
through forestry innovation, place-based partnerships to plant and restore forests, and movement building.
Learn more about us at
americanforests.org
Credits
Carbon impact analysis by
Kendall DeLyser
Article and visualizations by
Julia Twichell
Methods
Urban Forestry Carbon Impact Estimates
Urban tree planting and maintenance carbon value estimated utilizing literature values of carbon storage,
planting cost, maintenance cost and avoided energy emissions per tree (
Nowak et al. (2013),
Nowak et al. (2017),
Nowak & Greenfield (2018),
Nowak et al. (2021),
Kroeger et al. (2018)). Avoided energy emissions benefits phased out to meet 2035 clean energy goal, following EPRI (2021).
Wildfire Resilience Carbon Impact Estimates
Funding assigned to fire risk reduction and vegetation management includes restoration/reforestation activities, fuels reduction treatments and avoided wildfire
emissions. Actual impacts may be greater when including additional wood product and substitution benefits from use of restoration byproducts. Please consider
these topline numbers using available information. These carbon emissions projections are derived by the U.S. Forest Service from
RPA
imputation modeling, including RPA forest dynamics (including forest age, density, growth rates, fire and removals), land use and global trade models.
Stochasticity is built into some of these parameters, so the model is ideally run many times to allow the most robust numbers (average, or central tendency)
to clearly emerge. This is in addition to necessary assumptions made in the model parameterization and investment application.
Wildfire Recovery Carbon Impact Estimates
Carbon value estimated utilizing EVALIDator C Estimates model developed by American Forests utilizing forest carbon stocks and fluxes from
USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis; reforestation costs and needs from U.S. Forest Service; estimated grant cost-share from Forest Legacy Program.
Forest Protection Carbon Impact Estimates
Conservation easement carbon value estimated utilizing EVALIDator C Estimates model developed by American Forests utilizing forest carbon stocks
and fluxes from
USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis, percent forest loss during conversion (
NLCD, 2011) and five-year average program cost per acre from the
Forest Legacy Program. Assumes 90% of FLP easements are additional, meaning forest would not
have been conserved without the easement - carbon benefits are scaled accordingly.
Old-growth inventory and protection activities are assumed to largely consist of reducing fire risk and supporting ecosystem resilience (i.e. hazardous fuel
reductions and vegetation management activities). Carbon estimation assumptions same as in the Wildfire Resilience section above.
Private & Working Forests Carbon Impact Estimates
All EQIP, CSP and RCPP (collectively, NRCS) program dollars budgeted under the IRA are assumed to be spent on Climate Smart Agriculture and Forestry (CSAF)
conservation practices, as specified for Fiscal Year 2022. The greenhouse gas benefits provided by each forestry practice (tree/shrub establishment and silvopasture) are estimated
using FIA data and literature estimates from Eagle et al. (2012). The per acre cost of each practice is based on California EQIP and CSP payment schedules
(where relevant, cost per tree/shrub or linear feet are converted to acres). We specify five categories of conservation practices and assume the following budget
allocation by category: 20% on cover crops, 10% on tree planting practices, 20% on nitrogen management, 10% on livestock (anaerobic digesters) and 40% on other
soil health, grazing and pasture, and wildlife habitat practices. We assume conservation practices will continue on enrolled acres after the initial year of enrollment,
but at discounted levels. These so-called "conservation legacy effects" are also specified by category: 25% for cover crops, 75% for tree planting practices, 10% for
nitrogen management, 96% for livestock, 75% for other soil health, grazing and pasture, and wildlife habitat practices. We assume conservation legacy effects are
constant for five years after the initial year of enrollment and then decline exponentially on an annual basis.
Private landowner incentive benefits are calculated based on a payment of $13/tonne CO
2e (estimate gathered from Trove Research and University College London 2021,
EDF 2018, Ecosystem Services Marketplace 2021) to lands with higher than baseline stocks; average participant carbon stocks, growth rates, market dynamics and private sector
engagement from American Forest Foundation
Family Forest Carbon Program and
USFS Forest Inventory and Analysis.
Wood Innovation Carbon Impact Estimates
Wood innovation projections developed based upon literature values of embodied, stored and avoided emissions as well as projected market growth, additional to
existing projections in the absence of IRA and IIJA investments (FPInnovations (2020), AWC.CWC (2020), Puettman et al. (2018), Nepal et al. (2016)).
Carbon Equivalencies
Carbon Equivalencies were calculated with the
EPA Greenhouse Gas Equivalencies Calculator.
New York City 2020 carbon emissions were reported on by the city in their 2021 study,
Pathways to Carbon-Neutral NYC.
All content 2022 American Forests. Please acknowledge American
Forests in the use and distribution of this product.